To say the least, this season has been largely disappointing
for the Philadelphia Phillies. Entering the year, no one had expectations much
beyond 75-80 wins, but the consensus seemed to be that the worst days of the
franchise’s rebuilding effort were in the past. That belief was quickly
dismissed early in the season. The Phillies had the worst record in baseball by
Memorial Day and looked every bit the part of a team that was on pace to lose
well over 100 games.
Fast forward three months and the team still has the worst
record in baseball and is still on pace to lose over 100 games. While it sounds
difficult to watch a team that bad on a regular basis, anyone that’s done so
this summer would realize the silver linings in an otherwise dreadful season. Starting
at the top of the order, second baseman Cesar Hernandez is following up a
strong 2016 campaign with another good season this year as the Phillies’
leadoff man. Hernandez missed a little over a month with an oblique injury
earlier this season, but in 94 games so far, Hernandez has career highs in
slugging percentage and OPS. This, coming off a season in which he had career
highs in batting average and on-base percentage in 2016, hitting .294 while
sporting a .371 OBP. With second baseman and 2015 second-round pick Scott
Kingery knocking on the door for a big-league promotion at AAA Lehigh Valley,
Hernandez is an interesting trade chip for the Phillies in the offseason.
Prior to hitting the disabled list recently with a hamstring
injury, much-maligned outfielder Odubel Herrera was on a tear. Herrera slashed .321/.351/.519
in June, only to follow it up by slashing .360/.415/.651 in July and prior to
his injury he was at .360/.418/.580 for August. In the first two months of the
season, Herrera looked like he had clearly regressed after having a productive
2016. On the mound, the Phillies’ most promising young starter Aaron Nola got
off to a rough start. But the LSU product rebounded by going 3-2 with a 3.24
ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in June. He then had his best month in
July posting a 3-1 record with a 1.32 ERA and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
In addition to the resurgence of players like Herrera and
Nola, who were expected to be key cogs for the Phillies all season, there have
been more reasons for optimism after seeing the early results from some of the
prospects that have been called up to the big leagues. Outfielder Nick Williams
was called up almost two months ago and looks to fit the profile of a regular
corner outfielder. While Williams has played center field with Herrera on the
shelf, his bat and arm make him a natural fit in right. The 2012 second-round
pick of the Texas Rangers came over in the Cole Hamels trade and his.293 batting
average in 47 major league games this year is certainly encouraging. Though, what’s
stood out the most in his time with the Phillies is Williams’ willingness to
take walks. His major league walk rate is at 7.7 percent which is by far the
highest it has been at any level within the Phillies organization. Catcher
Jorge Alfaro was another big get for the Phillies in the Hamels trade. Alfaro has
only appeared in nine big league games, and certainly must cut down on his
free-swinging approach. However, he’s shown the makings of a strong offensive
catcher with a big arm behind the plate which is exactly what everyone thought
the Phillies were getting two years ago.
Matt Slocum/Associated Press Williams and Hoskins have many fans believing they'll be the Phillies' three and four hitters for many years to come. |
One player who has not yet gotten the call to the show but
appears to be getting closer by the day is shortstop J.P. Crawford. For years,
Crawford was the top prospect in the Phillies’ organization. However, his
putrid start to the AAA season with Lehigh Valley sparked questions about just
how good he could be in the majors. Crawford has since returned to form in July
and August and should get a look with the big club in September.
Despite some positive signs over the last three months,
there are still plenty of questions left to be answered. One player who has
been unable to turn things around is third baseman Maikel Franco. Franco had an
underwhelming 2016 and has been even worse this season. He will almost
certainly be given all of 2018 to figure it out, but Franco’s organizational
arrow has been pointing in the wrong direction for quite some time. Franco’s
downward trend after a strong rookie year in 2015 is reason to remember that
the sample size for other young players in the lineup right now is still
miniscule.
Manager Pete Mackanin has made some questionable lineup
decisions. The Phillies have lost 31 games by one run. The Texas Rangers, the
next closest team, has lost 21 games by one run. Losing that many close games
isn’t exactly a ringing endorsement for any manager. The front office still has
a lot to prove. President of Baseball Operations Andy MacPhail and General
Manager Matt Klentak are wrapping up their second season running the Phillies.
The aforementioned young players that fans hope will be a part of the next contender
the Phillies field were all acquired by former GM Ruben Amaro Jr. MacPhail and
Klentak have stressed the need to add pitching depth at all levels of the organization.
Currently in the majors, the Phillies lack consistent starting pitching after
Nola and the bullpen always seems to make things interesting when given a lead.
With the Chicago Cubs in Philadelphia this weekend, it won’t
be a surprise to anyone if the losses continue to pile up for the Phillies. They’ll
have to at least go 17-19 in their final 36 games to avoid 100 losses which
seems unlikely. But, the last three
months have been an indication that it might not all be gloom and doom for the
Phillies and there should be brighter days ahead.