Wednesday, October 8, 2014

NHL 2014-2015 Season Predictions

NHL 2014-2015 Season Predictions
With the puck set to drop in NHL arenas, time to give my predictions for the season.  An asterisk denotes a playoff team.

Eastern Conference

Metropolitan Division
1.)    Pittsburgh Penguins*
2.)    New York Rangers*
3.)    New York Islanders*
4.)    Columbus Blue Jackets*
5.)    Washington Capitals*
6.)    Philadelphia Flyers
7.)    New Jersey Devils
8.)    Carolina Hurricanes

Analysis: I think this is the deepest division in the NHL.  Arguments can be made for every team except Carolina to be a playoff team.  Pittsburgh lost some pieces in the offseason, but is still the class of the division as long as Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin are healthy.  The Rangers had some subtractions from their Eastern Conference championship roster as well as Brian Boyle, Anton Stralman, and Brad Richards are no longer around, but are still very strong defensively and still have Henrik Lundqvist.  The Islanders are much improved.  Having made the playoffs in 2012-2013, they fell off a cliff last year once John Tavares got hurt in the Olympics.  With Tavares back, the addition of forwards Nikolai Kulemin and Mikhail Grabovski, Nick Leddy and Johnny Boychuk added on the back end, and Jaroslav Halak between the pipes, look for the Islanders to make the playoffs for the second time in three years.  Columbus is quite an up-and-coming team with a roster with lots of promise and Scott Hartnell could be a helpful glue guy for them.  Washington will be better as well having improved their defense bringing in Matt Niskanen and Brooks Orpik from Pittsburgh and Barry Trotz was a good hire for them.  The Flyers weren’t able to do much in the offseason due to their cap situation.  Steve Mason might be their goalie for the future but they have an average to good at best defense and will need to score a lot of goalies to have a chance at the playoffs.  Mike Cammalleri and Martin Havlat help the Devils up front but there’s not enough offensive firepower to help Corey Scheinder.  Carolina will be cellar dwellers without having done much to improve in the offseason and Eric Staal and Jeff Skinner sustained injuries in the preseason.

Atlantic Division

1.)    Tampa Bay Lightning*
2.)    Boston Bruins*
3.)    Montreal Canadiens*
4.)    Toronto Maple Leafs
5.)    Detroit Red Wings
6.)    Ottawa Senators
7.)    Florida Panthers
8.)    Buffalo Sabres

Analysis: Tampa Bay will win this division with a healthy Steven Stamkos and an improved blue line with Jason Garrison and Anton Stralman on board.  Boston won’t be far behind though as Tuukka Rask will compete for the Vezina and Zdeno Charra is always a threat to win the Norris.  Montreal went to the Eastern Conference Finals last year and may have won if Carey Price did not get hurt.  The Canadiens young forwards and Price will propel them into the playoffs.  Toronto and Detroit will vie for wild card spots with the teams that aren’t in the top three in the Metropolitan but there’s too much depth in the Metropolitan for me to see Toronto or Detroit make the playoffs.   For Detroit, this would end of streak of over two decades of making the playoffs.  Ottawa, Florida, and Buffalo will keep the basement warm in this division.

Western Conference

Central Division

1.)    St. Louis Blues*
2.)    Chicago Blackhawks*
3.)    Colorado Avalanche*
4.)    Dallas Stars*
5.)    Nashville Predators
6.)    Minnesota Wild
7.)    Winnipeg Jets

Analysis: While I tend to lean towards the Metropolitan as the deepest division in the NHL, the Central is also very deep.  St. Louis is a very talented team that just hasn’t been able to get it done in the playoffs.  Nonetheless they’ll have another shot this year.  Chicago is always a force to be reckoned with and Colorado, much like Columbus in the East, has an up-and-coming roster of young talent.  Dallas is loaded offensively and while they have some question marks on defense should be able to score enough to make the playoffs.  Nashville could be the most improved team in the West with Pekka Rinne healthy, a strong defense, and Peter Laviolette behind the bench.  Minnesota won a round in the playoffs last year but there has to be an odd team out here.  Similar to the Flyers in the Metropolitan, Minnesota isn’t a bad team, there are just better ones in this division and Winnipeg will be left at the bottom.

Pacific Division                                                                                                                                    1.)    Los Angeles Kings*
2.)    Anaheim Ducks*
3.)    San Jose Sharks*
4.)    Vancouver Canucks*
5.)    Edmonton Oilers
6.)    Arizona Coyotes
7.)    Calgary Flames

Analysis: The Kings aren’t going anywhere.  Anaheim and San Jose will still be playoff teams but questions remain about Bruce Boudreau and Todd McLellan.  Vancouver should be a playoff team with Ryan Miller solidifying their goaltending situation.  Edmonton has young talent especially up front and will be improved while the Coyotes and Flames struggle.

Awards

Hart Trophy (League MVP): Steven Stamkos- Tampa Bay
Rocket Richard Trophy (Most Goals): Steven Stamkos- Tampa Bay
Art Ross Trophy (Most Points): John Tavares- New York Islanders
Norris Trophy (Best Defenseman): Drew Doughty- Los Angeles
Vezina Trophy (Best Goalie): Carey Price- Montreal
Calder Trophy (Best Rookie): Jonathan Drouin- Tampa Bay

Playoffs

Metropolitan First Round
Washington over Pittsburgh in 7
New York Rangers over New York Islanders in 6

Metropolitan Second Round
New York Rangers over Washington in 5

Atlantic First Round
Tampa Bay over Columbus in 6
Montreal  over Boston in 7

Atlantic Second Round
Tampa Bay over Montreal in 7

Eastern Conference Finals
Tampa Bay over New York Rangers in 6 
                
Central First Round
St. Louis over Dallas in 6
Chicago over Colorado in 6

Central Second Round
Chicago over St. Louis in 7

Pacific First Round
Los Angeles over Vancouver in 5
Anaheim over San Jose in 7

Pacific Second Round
Los Angeles over Anaheim in 5

Western Conference Finals
Chicago over Los Angeles in 6

Stanley Cup Final
Tampa Bay over Chicago in 6

Happy Hockey Season!


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