Thursday, June 2, 2016

Ryan Howard situation isn't as bad as you think it is


The Phillies are in the midst of a season high six-game losing streak. Their offense has remained lifeless and the starting pitching hasn’t been able to continue carrying the load. The six losses have been against the teams that currently hold baseball’s top two records, the Chicago Cubs and the Washington Nationals. The early season magic that saw the Phillies win 13 out of 16 one-run games on their way to a 21-15 start has disappeared.

When the Phillies were winning, conversations sparked about what the team would do at the trade deadline if still in contention. Now, the primary topic of discussion surrounding the Phillies is about a player who doesn’t play every day and is hitting .153. It’s no secret the end is near for Ryan Howard in a Phillies uniform. His current contract includes a $10 million buyout for the 2017 season, therefore 2016 is bound to be the last season Howard will play in Philadelphia.

In the middle of May, the Phillies called up 24-year old first base prospect Tommy Joseph from Lehigh Valley as Joseph was tearing it up in Triple A. Initially, the plan was to platoon Howard and Joseph and have Howard play against right handers while Joseph got all the at-bats against left-handed starting pitchers. As Howard’s struggles continued, manager Pete Mackanin began to mix Joseph in against right-handers and some called for the Phillies to just release Howard and be done with him.

There is no doubt that for the rest of the season, Joseph is a better option than Howard at first base. However, remember those discussions about the trade deadline and what the team should do if it continues to overachieve? Well, it doesn’t look like that will be a realistic scenario regardless of who is playing first base. So that begs the question, what’s wrong with riding out the rest of the season, with Joseph starting approximately two-thirds to three-quarters of the remaining games, and mixing in Howard once or twice a week?  After all, there could be value in just having him act as a soundboard for a lot of the younger players on the roster to bounce ideas off of.

It’s important to remember this team was supposed to be one of the worst in baseball this year. Many prognosticators had the Phillies winning in the upper 60s or at best low 70s. Perhaps they could end up a little bit better than that, but .500 would be quite a step forward after 63 wins last season. The team is in the midst of a rebuild and the focus has been placed on developing the farm system, which is now one of the better ones in baseball. As the team continued to add prospects to its system, Joseph continued to drop down the organizational ladder by many experts who ranked prospects in farm systems. Joseph was traded to the Phillies in 2012 as a part of the Hunter Pence trade. His lengthy injury history prolonged his stay in the minor leagues and forced him to move from catcher to first base. As the Phillies replenished the farm, discussions about the future of the organization were centered around lots of prospects not named Tommy Joseph.

Yet, here we are in 2016 and the team has sold off almost all of its veterans over the last year and a half, and Joseph is getting a chance. First base was one of the positions the farm system lacked a definitive answer to and when Joseph started hot in Lehigh Valley, the timing made sense to promote him and give him a look in the majors. He will start more than Howard will for the rest of this season, and will almost certainly get a good chunk of 2017 as the team’s first baseman. That seems like plenty of time to evaluate if there’s a future for Joseph or not as the team’s first baseman so it seems petty to think Howard is blocking him.
                                                            Ron Cortes/Philly.com
Howard has seen his role reduced in the early stages of 2016.


Howard’s decline since 2011 has been well-documented. Injuries forced him to miss the first half of 2012 and the second half of 2013. When healthy, his production hasn’t been close to what it once was. Previous General Manager Ruben Amaro Jr. was rightfully criticized for being loyal to a fault and trying to turn back the clock by gambling on lots of veterans during the 2012-14 seasons instead of hitting the reset button. But that same argument cannot be applied to current General Manager Matt Klentak here. Howard just happens to be one of few veterans left on the roster, is untradeable, and the team doesn’t have a slam-dunk option to play every day at first base. Therefore, since Joseph’s promotion, Mackanin has played both Joseph and Howard but Joseph more frequently in hopes of him becoming that slam-dunk option or just proving to be someone worth keeping around on the active 25-man roster for years to come. Before Joseph got to Philadelphia, there were some fans complaining that Howard was blocking Darin Ruf. However, even with Howard on the roster, Ruf was given countless opportunities from 2012 to 2015 to prove to be a part of the organization’s future and failed to capitalize. So why is Ryan Howard’s presence on a team that is clearly proving not to be a contender and isn’t getting much offensive production from anyone else either so detrimental to the organization? It just doesn’t add up.

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