Friday, September 22, 2017

College Football’s power five at the quarter turn

There have been several high-profile non-conference games in the first three weeks of the season. Many power five teams play their conference openers this weekend, while some teams have already played games within their league. Here’s how I see the power five shaking up with conference play getting underway in earnest this weekend.
 
SEC: The Southeastern Conference ruled college football during the end of the BCS era. Since the inception of the playoff in 2014, Alabama has been the only team from the conference to make the playoff. The Crimson Tide have qualified for the playoff in all three seasons and played for National Championship the last two seasons. Early on, it appears it may be another Alabama or bust season for the SEC in the playoff. Mississippi State may be Alabama’s biggest competition in the SEC West after a blowout win last week against LSU, but Dan Mullen’s bunch has a difficult road test in Athens this weekend against Georgia. Georgia looks like the favorite in the East and had a nice win out of conference at Notre Dame in week 2. However, it would be a surprise if any team other than Alabama ended up in the playoff from the SEC.


ACC: This looks like the least predictable of the power five conferences so far. Florida State was the runaway favorite to win the Atlantic Coast Conference, but the Seminoles were steamrolled by Alabama in week 1 and lost their starting quarterback Deondre Francois in the process. Clemson made a statement last week going to Louisville and dominating the Cardinals and reigning Heisman trophy winner Lamar Jackson. Virginia Tech, though currently outside the top 10, is worth keeping an eye on as the Hokies opened the season with a nice non-conference win against West Virginia and host Clemson next week.

Big 12: The Big 12 has been perhaps the most impressive conference so far with Oklahoma winning in Columbus in week 2 and Oklahoma State arguably looking like the best offensive team in the country. The Cowboys have a marquee Big 12 opener this weekend with No. 16 TCU rolling into Stillwater. Oklahoma travels to Oklahoma State on November 4 for a game that could decide who represents the Big 12 in the playoff. While TCU could spoil the party this weekend, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State both look like title contenders one month in.

Big 10: This is the conference nearly got two teams in the playoff last season, and has most teams in the top 10 entering this weekend. There are a lot of paths to the playoff for the Big 10 right now, but it’s hard to pick a favorite in this conference. Penn State looks to be in the driver’s seat, but James Franklin and company have a difficult stretch coming up in a month that has them playing Michigan, then traveling to Ohio State and Michigan State. Tomorrow’s game at Iowa could also be a tricky one for Penn State. This should be a competitive league from start to finish.


Pac 12: USC was generating all the preseason buzz with quarterback Sam Darnold entering the season as one of the Heisman favorites and likely top five pick in the 2018 NFL Draft. The Trojans had a scare last week at home against Texas and if we’ve learned anything about USC after the Pete Carroll era, it’s that the Trojans have often failed to live up to expectations. Washington State, Oregon and Utah are teams at the bottom of the 25 that could climb up into contention for the conference championship while defending champion Washington is the biggest challenger to the Trojans. UCLA was another team that had some preseason buzz thanks to quarterback prospect Josh Rosen and a miraculous comeback in week 1 against Texas A&M, but a loss to Memphis last week has the Bruins behind the eight ball in the Pac 12.

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